UFC Vegas 105 gambling preview: Will Josh Emmett score another incredible knockout against Lerone Murphy?

The UFC is returning to the world’s mightiest APEX.

On Saturday, UFC Vegas 105 goes down, headlined by a high 15 featherweight matchup between Josh Emmett and Lerone Murphy. Can Murphy make the leap to true contender, or will Emmett reinsert himself into the title image at 145 kilos? Plus, how will you profit from all of the motion on Saturday? Let’s dive proper into one of the best picks and performs this weekend.

All odds are courtesy of our buddies at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Single Performs

Pat Sabatini (+190)

Sabatini takes on Joanderson Brito within the co-main occasion in a sneaky-fun matchup. Brito is on a superb run within the UFC (and it ought to be higher as he deserved to beat William Gomis in September), however I don’t assume he ought to be this massive of a favourite. It is a basic striker vs. grappler matchup, besides generally Brito initiates grappling exchanges as properly. Brito is a stable sufficient grappler to keep away from getting tapped, but when this finally ends up on the ground Sabatini ought to management and win, and I believe he’s ok with the wrestling to make that occur.

Talita Alencar (-114)

Alencar takes on Vanessa Demopoulos within the first combat of the night on Saturday and this can be a easy breakdown: Demopouls is primarily a grappler, however Alencar is healthier. When Demopoulos was simply taking over BJJ, Alencar was successful world championships. Demopoulos additionally isn’t an important wrestler, so the possibilities that this stays on the toes and turns into unhealthy kickboxing aren’t that top. This could go to the bottom and Alencar is the larger fish in that pond.

Picture by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC through Getty Photographs

Prop Bets

Josh Emmett Determination No Wager (+140)

The principle occasion on Saturday has lengthy odds and, frankly, I believe they’re too lengthy. Sure, Emmett is 40 years outdated and has been out for over a 12 months, however he’s nonetheless a really harmful fighter, and Murphy isn’t a world-beater. Extra importantly, we’ve seen Murphy get damage earlier than, and Emmett is among the division’s premier energy punchers.

However as an alternative of taking a shot on Emmett at an enormous underdog value, I believed we’d attempt one thing a little bit safer. For the uninitiated, this guess pushes if it goes to a choice, so mainly, we’re betting both Emmett will get a KO and we win, or Murphy wins a choice and we get our a refund.

Picture by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Parlay

Two weeks of parlays hitting, let’s go for 3 in a row, and going again to the gimmick. This week it’s Spherical 3 Contender Sequence prospects that I underrated.

Luis Gurule (-265)

Gurules takes on Ode Osbourne in a most important card flyweight bout, and although I didn’t price him extremely as a prospect from Contender Sequence, upon second reflection, he deserved a little bit higher. Gurule is a former Furc FC champion, a D-II faculty wrestler, and he’s pro-ready already. The person has good grappling and good cardio, and the one actual knock on him is that he’s 31 years outdated. Osbourne, in the meantime, is a identified entity and I anticipate Gurule to regulate this combat along with his wrestling.

Daniel Frunza (-158)

Frunza takes on Rhys McKee in a prelim welterweight contest that I favor him to win. For one factor, Frunza is a scrappy striker with shades of Bryan Barberena to him. For an additional, Rhys McKee can’t purchase a win within the UFC. In two journeys by means of the promotion, he’s 0-4. McKee goes to present Frunza the hanging contest he needs and Frunza has extra canine in him, so McKee ought to drop to 0-5.

Parlay these two bets collectively for +124 odds.

Wrap Up

Alright! It’s been a tricky begin to 2025 for us, however the previous couple of weeks, we’ve gotten issues again on monitor. We had a stable successful week for UFC Mexico. Now, let’s try to make it three in a row as we head into UFC 314 combat week.

Till subsequent week, benefit from the fights, good luck, and gamble responsibly!

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