UFC Vegas 104 Gambling Preview: Who wins the Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze rematch?

Marvin Vettori and Roman Dolidze are set to run issues again.

This Saturday, in the principle occasion of UFC Vegas 104, Vettori and Dolidze rematch their 2023 combat that noticed Vettori win a unanimous choice victory. Will issues go in another way this time round? And what about the remainder of the UFC’s newest journey to the world’s mightiest APEX? Let’s dive in.

All odds are courtesy of our buddies at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Single Performs

Marvin Vettori (-172)

This can be a rematch that no one requested for and one which Vettori even admits he didn’t understand he signed up for (Vettori stated he thought he was preventing Roman Kopylov), and it’s no secret why. Vettori vs. Dolidze 1 wasn’t a foul combat but it surely wasn’t particularly memorable with Vettori using his tried and true methodology of out-working his opponent. Dolidze swung exhausting and had moments however Vettori is extraordinarily sturdy and may merely outlast most opponents. This combat is 25 minutes as an alternative of 15, which solely serves to assist Vettori. I like him to win in traditional Vettori vogue, however you aren’t getting that a lot of a price by betting factors so simply play it secure with the straight wager.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-180)

Cortes-Acosta takes on Ryan Spann on the prelims in Spann’s heavyweight debut, and these odds really feel beneficiant. Spann is a mercurial fighter who principally both wins by knockout or guillotine or else loses. Cortes-Acosta, in the meantime, is no one’s thought of thrilling, however he’s confirmed to be greater than serviceable at heavyweight, going 5-1 within the UFC. Extra importantly although, “Salsa Boy” has confirmed to be fairly sturdy so I anticipate him to climate any early offense from Spann after which take over because the combat drags on.

Photograph by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Prop Bets

Kevin Vallejos by KO/TKO (-150)

This can be a huge value for a prop wager like this, however I don’t care, I’m staking my declare: Vallejos is a future famous person.

Simply 23 years outdated, Vallejos is making his UFC debut off the latest Contender Collection the place I had him as one in all my favourite prospects. Why? Properly as a result of he has tremendous slick boxing already and he was truly on Contender Collection in 2023 as effectively, shedding an extraordinarily aggressive combat with Jean Silva. You’ve all seen what “Lord” has gone on to do within the UFC and Vallejos — at 22! — gave him all he might deal with. Certain, he’s undersized in opposition to Seungwoo Choi, however I nonetheless anticipate him to dazzle.

Diyar Nurgozhay by KO/TKO (+100)

Talking of Contender Collection prospect squash matches, we’ve obtained one other one on the prelims. Nurgozhay makes his UFC debut after a nasty knockout on the latest season of Contender Collection, taking over Brendson Ribeiro and as kindly as I can put this, this can be a setup combat for Nurgozhay. The Kazakh fighter is a particularly promising gentle heavyweight prospect who throws huge energy photographs, and Ribeiro in all probability shouldn’t even be within the UFC at this level and three of his 4 most up-to-date losses have come by KO. 1+1=2.

Photograph by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC by way of Getty Pictures

Parlay

There are a number of Gimmick Parlays accessible this week (as an illustration, each Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos and Suyoung You have been born on Dec. 11) however I’ve to go along with one close to and expensive to my coronary heart. Three fighters on the prelims are 2023 Contender Collection merchandise that I rated as “Massive Paws on a Pet” prospects, AKA Grade A prospects. We’re tying all of them collectively.

Andre Lima (-430)

Lima appears to maneuver to 4-0 within the UFC when he takes on Daniel Barez. Nonetheless simply 26, Lima has a well-rounded recreation and may threaten on the toes and with submissions. Barez positively has the sting in energy, however Lima is the higher grappler and extra dynamic fighter.

Stephanie Luciano (-250)

Luciano takes on Sam Hughes in a strawweight bout that I anticipate her to indicate out in. Luciano isn’t probably the most technical fighter however she’s imply as hell, and I say that as a praise. Imply is an underrated ability in MMA and one that ought to serve her effectively in opposition to Hughes, a really center of the highway fighter.

Carli Judice (-375)

Arguably the riskiest of the legs of this parlay, Judice is 26 years outdated and simply 3-2 in her MMA profession. That being stated, I believed she gained her debut bout in opposition to Gabriella Fernandes and she or he’s preventing somebody equally as inexperienced as she is. I truly like Yuneisy Duben a good quantity as a prospect as effectively, however her 6-0 skilled file doesn’t let you know that 5 of these wins got here in opposition to opponents who have been making their debuts. Judice remains to be uncooked however has the athleticism to compete immediately in opposition to much better opposition and whereas Yuneisy has energy, we don’t know if she has anything based mostly on her profession to this point.

Parlay these three bets collectively for +118 odds.

Wrap Up

The playing continues till morale improves! Yeesh! Complete catastrophe of a weekend, persevering with what has been a dreadful begin to 2024. Oh effectively, gotta go ahead to return. Higher press on.

Till subsequent week, benefit from the fights, good luck, and gamble responsibly!

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