One other 12 months within the fantastic world of MMA has come and gone, and as soon as once more, it’s been made abundantly clear that we’re all Jon Snow and know nothing. 2024 noticed six new UFC champions topped, whereas 5 retained their titles, and albeit, the braintrust at MMA Preventing was not significantly good at predicting how all that might shake out. Solely one in all our quantity (shout out to E. Casey Leydon) managed to have an above 50 p.c hit price when predicting the end-of-year champions for 2024. Nonetheless, we persist.
With 2025 now upon us, it’s time to as soon as once more peer into our crystal balls and take one other crack at predicting who the UFC champions will likely be this time subsequent 12 months.
MMA Preventing staffers Guilherme Cruz, Mike Heck, Alexander Okay. Lee, E. Casey Leydon, Damon Martin, Jed Meshew, and José Youngs make our picks under.
Be part of within the enjoyable by letting us know your picks within the feedback. Belief us: It’s a lot, rather more troublesome than you’d count on.
Heavyweight
Tom Aspinall (4): Cruz, Leydon, Meshew, Youngs
Jon Jones (3): Heck, Lee, Martin
The heavyweight title state of affairs stays as clear as mud.
Coming into 2024, Jon Jones was the undisputed heavyweight champion with an unsure future, whereas Tom Aspinall was the interim champion who gave the impression to be unlikely to get a shot on the unified title. Properly, the extra issues change, the extra they keep the identical.
After beating Stipe Miocic at UFC 309 and at last placing that rivalry to mattress, Jones made it clear that he’ll solely return to defend his title underneath a couple of circumstances: both he will get to battle Alex Pereira, or they pay him some huge cash to battle Aspinall. Will both of these issues occur? And if neither does, will the UFC strip Jones? Your guess is nearly as good as ours.
So, given the uncertainty surrounding the heavyweight title, it’s not all that stunning that our panel is fairly evenly break up, with a slight edge towards the fighter we know will nonetheless be competing by the top of the 12 months.
Mild Heavyweight
Alex Pereira (4): Cruz, Heck, Martin, Youngs
Magomed Ankalaev (3): Lee, Leydon, Meshew
One other nail-biter as we transfer on down the road, and once more, now we have a title that lacks readability.
If this had been a couple of years in the past, we’d be in a spot the place very clearly gentle heavyweight champion Alex Pereira defends his title towards Magomed Ankalaev subsequent. However yesterday’s UFC will not be as we speak’s UFC, and that matchup is way from a certainty. As talked about, Jon Jones desires to provide Pereira a shot on the heavyweight title, and “Poatan” has been extraordinarily clear about not wanting to provide Ankalaev a title shot. There’s a world the place Pereira retains his title with out even defending it as soon as in 2024.
But when Pereira does battle at 205 kilos in 2025, Ankalaev appears probably to get the shot at him, and almost half of our panelists seem to consider that this time he can win the title. Even Alexander Okay. Lee, the lone panelist to choose Alex Pereira to retain his title in 2024, modified his tune and hopped on the Ankalaev practice for this 12 months. Nonetheless, given the unbelievable 12 months Pereira had in 2024, it’s not stunning that he’s the favourite to retain.
Middleweight
Khamzat Chimaev (4): Cruz, Heck, Lee, Youngs
Dricus du Plessis (2): Martin, Meshew
Nassourdine Imavov (1): Leydon
For what feels just like the fourth 12 months in a row, a majority of individuals consider Khamzat Chimaev will lastly win a title.
The overwhelming favourite in 2024 to assert the middleweight title, the query with Chimaev has all the time been availability. However with Dricus du Plessis and Sean Strickland set to run issues again at UFC 312 subsequent month for the title, and Chimaev ostensibly taking up the winner, it seems like “Borz” might solely must make it to the cage one time in 2024 to make good on his potential.
In fact, there’s additionally an actual wild-card choice right here. Nassourdine Imavov, who had a powerful 2024 marketing campaign, nonetheless appears a methods off of a middleweight title shot, however a courageous panelist made probably the upset name of this complete train. Then once more, no one predicted Sean Strickland in 2023, and we noticed how that labored out.
Photograph by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC
Welterweight
Shavkat Rakhmonov (5): Cruz, Heck, Lee, Leydon, Youngs
Belal Muhammad (1): Martin
Islam Makhachev (1): Meshew
Our first blowout win and it ought to come as no shock. In 2024, an amazing majority of the panel picked Shavkat Rakhmonov to assert the welterweight title, with zero individuals predicting Belal Muhammad to carry the belt. And reality be instructed, Muhammad may not have had he not gotten injured on the finish of the 12 months.
Now, Rakhmonov is injured, so there’s some query of when the 2 would possibly match up, but it surely appears a foregone conclusion that Rakhmonov will lastly get a title shot this 12 months, and most consider he’ll get the job finished. Nevertheless, one in all us (*cough* me *cough*) thinks that after Rakhmonov wins the title, his first protection will likely be towards light-weight champion Islam Makhachev, who will then take the belt from him.
Light-weight
Islam Makhachev (6): Cruz, Lee, Leydon, Martin, Meshew, Youngs
Arman Tsarukyan (1): Heck
One other clear selection right here, and this needs to be even much less stunning than the Rakhmonov prediction.
Islam Makhachev is the highest pound-for-pound fighter within the sport and is steadily climbing the ranks of all-time greats, each within the light-weight division and pound-for-pound. His subsequent step within the course of is his scheduled title protection towards Arman Tsarukyan later this month, and if he wins that, there’s no apparent contender to threaten him. Even when he loses at UFC 311, Makhachev probably will get an opportunity to reclaim the title earlier than the top of the 12 months, making him the overwhelming favourite amongst our employees to carry the belt at 12 months’s finish.
Featherweight
Ilia Topuria (6): Cruz, Heck, Leydon, Martin, Meshew, Youngs
Movsar Evloev (1): Lee
Unanimous picks are exceedingly uncommon on this train, however I’ll admit, I assumed this could be one. Ilia Topuria is simply 27 years outdated and the reigning Fighter of the 12 months, having earned that title by placing collectively among the best two-fight runs in MMA historical past. That run was sufficient to silence a lot of the doubters, however apparently not all of them. Or maybe Mr. Lee doubts Topuria sticks across the weight class?
Whereas it appears probably that Topuria will defend towards Alexander Volkanovski subsequent, the featherweight champion has proven a determined disinterest in doing so, lobbying for a transfer as much as light-weight as a substitute. And whereas that is probably not the probably factor, if it occurs, Evloev can be in prime place to step in as the person at 145 kilos.
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25812902/2165153761.jpg)
Photograph by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC through Getty Photos
Bantamweight
Umar Nurmagomedov (6): Cruz, Lee, Leydon, Martin, Meshew, Youngs
Petr Yan (1): Heck
Merab Dvalishvili (0):
Discuss disrespect.
Lengthy considered as a champion in ready, Merab Dvalishvili lastly acquired his alternative on the title in 2024 and took benefit, beating Sean O’Malley to take the belt, and never a single individual on our panel believes he’ll nonetheless have it by February.
Dvalishvili defends his title towards Umar Nurmagomedov within the co-main occasion of UFC 311 later this month, and each single panelist believes we’re in for “And New” when the time comes. Given how nice Nurmagomedov has seemed, maybe it’s not stunning, however what’s stunning is that one courageous soul believes that former champion Petr Yan will then take the belt off of Nurmagomedov earlier than the top of 2025.
Flyweight
Alexandre Pantoja (5): Cruz, Heck, Martin, Meshew, Youngs
Manel Kape (1): Leydon
Asu Almabayev (1): Lee
You know the way Merab Dvalishvili can get some respect? Be like Alexander Pantoja. All of the UFC flyweight champion has finished the previous few years is win (and achieve this impressively), and persons are lastly beginning to give him his due.
I’m a kind of individuals. I predicted Manel Kape to interrupt by way of and take the flyweight title in 2024, however after watching “Pants” smush his approach by way of the load class, I’m finished doubting him.
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25812904/2177010739.jpg)
Photograph by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC
Girls’s Bantamweight
Kayla Harrison (5): Cruz, Lee, Leydon, Martin, Youngs
Amanda Nunes (2): Heck, Meshew
Julianna Peña (0):
And right here now we have one other champion with no assist in 2025, although this one is much less stunning.
Many individuals don’t assume Julianna Peña deserved to take the title from Raquel Pennington at UFC 307, and if you add in that just about everyone seems to be on the Kayla Harrison bandwagon, it is smart that she can be the clear favourite to finish the 12 months as girls’s bantamweight champion (actually, Guilherme Cruz believes she can even win the ladies’s featherweight title!).
However, there are additionally a few us who consider that 2025 is the 12 months we see former two-time bantamweight champion and WMMA GOAT Amanda Nunes make her return to the octagon. Nunes teased a return in 2024, and will Harrison beat Peña, it appears a certainty that Nunes will come again. And if Peña pulls off the upset and retains? Properly, Nunes may be open to a trilogy bout as effectively.
Girls’s Flyweight
Valentina Shevchenko (4): Cruz, Heck, Martin, Youngs
Weili Zhang (1): Leydon
Manon Fiorot (1): Meshew
Natalia Silva (1): Lee
What a distinction a 12 months makes.
Heading into 2024, Erin Blanchfield was the overwhelming selection to finish the 12 months as champion. That didn’t occur, and as a substitute, Blanchfield misplaced to Manon Fiorot, and Valentina Shevchenko reclaimed her title with a workmanlike efficiency over Alexa Grasso of their trilogy bout.
The case for Shevchenko to retain her title is fairly clear: she’s one of many best fighters of all-time and probably the most dominant flyweight on the planet by a large margin. However Shevchenko can also be 36 and has been combating for 20 years. Sooner or later, time catches up with you, which seems to have led to a smattering of different choices.
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25812907/1595384325.jpg)
Photograph by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC through Getty Photos
Strawweight
Tatiana Suarez (5): Cruz, Leydon, Martin, Meshew, Youngs
Zhang Weili (2): Heck, Lee
One more weight class the place a majority of the panel believes we’re in for a brand new champion in 2024.
The strawweight division floundered in 2024 as champion Zhang Weili solely defended her title one time. However 115 kilos may very well be in for an uptick in motion in 2025 as Zhang is ready to defend her title towards Tatiana Suarez within the co-main occasion of UFC 312 subsequent month.
Suarez, in fact, was touted as a future champion almost a decade in the past, however accidents derailed her rise. Now, she lastly will get a shot to hoist gold, and a majority believes she’ll just do that come February.
Ballot
Which UFC champion is probably to lose their title in 2025?
0%
Dricus du Plessis
(0 votes)
0%
Islam Makhachev
(0 votes)
0%
Merab Dvalishvili
(0 votes)
0%
Alexandre Pantoja
(0 votes)
0%
Valentina Shevchenko
(0 votes)
0 votes whole
Vote Now